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Published May 6, 2025 | Version v2
Dataset Open

Future_Global_EnS: CMIP6 Global Environmental Stratification

Creators

  • 1. ROR icon CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change
  • 2. Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change

Contributors

  • 1. ROR icon World Agroforestry Centre
  • 2. ROR icon Kunming Institute of Botany
  • 3. The University of Edinburgh
  • 4. Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change
  • 5. ROR icon CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change

Description

The Future_Global_EnS_Database, contains the results of the global geospatial analysis of projected climate change impacts on the geographic distribution and shifting of bioclimatic strata, and is fully described in the publication submitted to Open Research Europe:

Zomer RJ, Metzger MJ, Xu J and Trabucco A. High Resolution Global Environmental Stratification to Model Shifting Bioclimatic Conditions and Climate Change Impacts on Terrestrial Ecosystems [version 1; peer review: awaiting peer review]. Open Res Europe 2025, 5:193 (https://doi.org/10.12688/openreseurope.20387.1)

The Future_Global_EnS_Database provides a high-resolution (30 arc-seconds) global raster dataset of bioclimatic zones and strata produced using the Environmental Stratification (EnS) methodology. This release includes reconstructions of current and future global environmental stratifications for:

- Two historical periods: 1960–1990 (WorldClim 1.4), 1970–2000 (WorldClim 2.1)
- Two future periods: 2021–2040, 2041–2060
- 22 CMIP6 Earth System Models (ESMs)
- Four emission scenarios (SSPs): SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.
- Two multi-model averaged ensembles:
             - Consensus Ensemble (15 ESMs, excluding high ECS models)
             - High-Risk Ensemble (5 “hot” models projecting extreme climate outcomes)

 

Files

EnS_CMIP6_Ensembles_2021-2040.zip

Files (4.6 GB)

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Additional details

Related works

Is described by
Journal article: 10.12688/openreseurope.20387.1) (DOI)
Is supplemented by
Journal article: 10.12688/openreseurope.18110.3 (DOI)
Dataset: 10.57760/sciencedb.nbsdc.00086 (DOI)
Software: https://figshare.com/articles/software/Global_Future_PET_AI_Algorithm_Code_Python_-_Calculate_PET_AI/24978666 (URL)

Funding

European Commission
NEXOGENESIS - Facilitating the next generation of effective and intelligent water-related policies utilising artificial intelligence and reinforcement learning to assess the water-energy-food-ecosystem (WEFE) nexus 101003881
European Commission
NextGenerationEU CN_00000033 NBFC

Dates

Collected
1960/1990
Historical (WorldClim v 1.4) Averaged Time Period
Collected
1970/2000
Historical (WorldClim v 2.1) Averaged Time Period
Collected
2021/2040
CMIP6 Projected - Averaged Time Period
Collected
2041/2060
CMIP6 Projected - Averaged Time Period

Software

Repository URL
https://figshare.com/articles/software/_b_Future_Global_EnS_Database_Global_Environmental_Stratification_-_Algorithm_Python_Code_b_/28715036
Programming language
Python