Published November 2024 | Version v2
Project deliverable Open

Skills-oriented migration in the Western Balkans: Linking workers' migration aspirations to skill shortages in destination and origin countries

  • 1. Radboud University Nijmegen
  • 2. ROR icon Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies
  • 3. ROR icon European University Institute

Contributors

Description

This working paper is D7.3 (T3.3) of the Horizon Europe project GS4S - Global Strategy for Skills, Migration and Development (gs4s.eu). The paper examines the impact of labour shortages on migration aspirations and destination preferences among individuals from Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Serbia. Using a two-stage Heckman selection model, we analyse data from the OeNB Euro Survey and the World Bank’s STEP Measurement Program. The results indicate that labour shortages significantly influence migration decisions: individuals are more likely to aspire to migrate if there is a shortage of workers in their occupation in the aspired destination countries, while shortages in their home country reduce migration aspirations. These findings suggest that both origin and destination countries should consider labour market conditions when formulating migration policies. For destination countries, highlighting demand for specific skills can attract needed workers, while Western Balkan countries should address the education-labour market mismatch to mitigate local shortages. Policy co-ordination between regions is crucial to manage migration flows and address skill gaps without exacerbating local shortages.

Files

D7.3 T3.3 14112024 final_web.pdf

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Additional details

Identifiers

Related works

Is continued by
Project deliverable: 10.13140/RG.2.2.29350.95049/1 (DOI)
Is original form of
Project deliverable: 10.13140/RG.2.2.32089.94560/1 (DOI)

Funding

European Commission
GS4S - Global Strategy for Skills, Migration, and Development 101132377

Dates

Available
2024-09