Published October 30, 2025
| Version v2
Dataset
Open
Land-use scenarios under the Natures Futures Framework
Creators
-
Venier-Cambron, Camille
(Researcher)1
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Scherpenhuijzen, Niek
(Researcher)1
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Tita, Davide
(Researcher)1
- Penna, Margherita (Researcher)1
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Sandström, Evelina
(Researcher)1
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Sarita Namasivayam, Anandi
(Researcher)1
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Garcia, Nuno
(Researcher)1
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Levering, Alex
(Researcher)1
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Hackbarth, Tom
(Researcher)1
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Verburg, Peter
(Researcher)1
-
1.
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Contributors
Researchers:
-
1.
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Description
These results are the product of tasks 5.2. Using the spatially explicit land-use model CLUMondo, we run high-resolution (1km) scenarios that quantify potential land-use change and land management changes under each of the NFF storylines (T5.1), following an SSP1 baseline. These are an updated version of the 'Preliminary land use scenarios for Nature Future Framework' (doi: 10.5281/zenodo.14228230), with improvements following the round of feedback received. Specifically, the updates consist of:
- Additional stakeholder workshops to test model assumptions
- Updating the baseline to represent the midpoint of the NFF triangle (following an SSP1 socioeconomic trajectory)
- Improving the internal consistancy of the scenarios to better match the storylines
- Capturing more comprehensively EU environmental laws regulations and targets
- Updating relevant data with other WP outputs
Files
N4N.zip
Files
(266.0 MB)
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Additional details
Related works
- Is new version of
- Dataset: 10.5281/zenodo.14228230 (DOI)
Funding
References
- Matthies, A.E., Fayet, C.M.J., O'Connor, L., and Verburg, P.H. (2023). Mapping agrobiodiversity in Europe: Different indicators, different priority areas. Ecological Indicators 114, 110744. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110744.
- European Environment Agency (2022). Natura 2000 (vector) - version 2021 revision 1,Oct. 2022. https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/data/natura-14/natura-2000-spatial-data https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/data/natura-14/natura-2000-spatial-data.
- Dertien, J. (2021). Large Mammal Connectivity. (Zenodo). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14974261
- Jung, M. (2024). Current and future European potential vegetation types. Version 1 (Zenodo). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13686776 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13686776.
- Crowther, T.W., Glick, H.B., Covey, K.R., Bettigole, C., Maynard, D.S., Thomas, S.M., Smith, J.R., Hintler, G., Duguid, M.C., Amatulli, G., et al. (2015). Mapping tree density at a global scale. Nature 121, 201–201. https://doi-org.vu-nl.idm.oclc.org/10.1038/nature14967.
- O'Connor, L., Pollock, L.J., Renaud, J., Verhagen, W., Verburg, P.H., Lavorel, S., Maiorano, L., and Thuiller, W. (2021). Balancing conservation priorities for nature and for people in Europe. Science 372, 856–860. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abc4896.