Long-term acclimatization scenarios of temperature-related mortality in Europe
- 1. ISGglobal
- 2. INSERM, Démographie et santé, CRLC, Montpellier, France
- 3. Geneva Medical School and University Hospitals, Thonex, Switzerland
- 4. Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats (ICREA), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
Description
Poster presented by Joan Ballester at the EC/EASME workshop „Climate services at work, Projects exchange and networking lab", Brussels (BE)
Aim: We show the link between temperature, humidity and daily numbers of deaths in nearly 200 European regions, which are used to infer transient projections of mortality under state-of-the-art high-resolution climate change simulations.
Results: The rise in heat-related mortality will start to completely compensate the reduction of deaths from cold during the second half of the century. Nevertheless, projections suggest that human lifespan might indeed increase if a substantial degree of adaptation to warm temperatures takes place.
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blueaction_20171129_easme.pdf
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