Published September 22, 2023 | Version v1
Dataset Open

Leveraging the strengths of citizen science and structured surveys to achieve scalable inference on population size

  • 1. Cornell Lab of Ornithology
  • 2. United States Fish and Wildlife Service
  • 3. United States Geological Survey

Description

  1. Population size is a key metric for management and policy decisions, yet wildlife monitoring programs are often limited by the spatial and temporal scope of surveys. In these cases, citizen science data may provide complementary information at higher resolution and greater extent.
  2. We present a case study demonstrating how data from the eBird citizen science program can be combined with regional monitoring efforts by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service to produce high-resolution estimates of golden eagle abundance. We developed a model that uses aerial survey data from the western United States to calibrate high-resolution annual estimates of relative abundance from eBird. Using this model, we compared regional population size estimates based on the calibrated eBird information to those based on aerial survey data alone.
  3. Population size estimates based on the calibrated eBird information had strong correspondence to estimates from aerial survey data in two out of four regions, and population trajectories based on the two approaches showed high correlations.
  4. We demonstrate how the combination of citizen science data and targeted surveys can be used to (a) increase the spatial resolution of population size estimates, (b) extend the spatial extent of inference, and (c) predict population size beyond the temporal period of surveys. Findings based on this case study can be used to refine policy metrics used by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and inform permitting regulations (e.g., mortality/harm associated with wind energy development).
  5. Policy implications. Our results demonstrate the ability of citizen science data to complement targeted monitoring programs and improve the efficacy of decision frameworks that require information on population size or trajectory. After validating citizen science data against survey-based benchmarks, agencies can harness strengths of citizen science data to supplement information needs and increase the resolution and extent of population size predictions.

Notes

Funding provided by: Leon Levy Foundation
Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100007027
Award Number:

Funding provided by: Wolf Creek Charitable Foundation
Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100017739
Award Number:

Funding provided by: National Science Foundation
Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000001
Award Number:

Funding provided by: U.S. Geological Survey
Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000203
Award Number:

Files

LinearModel_Data.csv

Files (248.4 kB)

Name Size Download all
md5:9b909a5acabd39e42f538bf2dcc76ffb
135.5 kB Download
md5:982a15c93f824439bf42a83cfbf5ded6
108.8 kB Preview Download
md5:c67061d4ddbad55443a3188b5b4f98fb
4.1 kB Preview Download

Additional details

Related works

Is derived from
10.5281/zenodo.8370802 (DOI)
Is source of
10.5281/zenodo.8370804 (DOI)