Published July 21, 2023 | Version v1
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The Nature Futures Framework, a flexible tool to support the development of scenarios and models of desirable futures for people, nature and Mother Earth, and its methodological guidance

  • 1. National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA)
  • 2. University of Tokyo
  • 3. Wits University and Stockholm Resilience Centre
  • 4. UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
  • 5. United States Geological Survey
  • 6. German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg
  • 7. Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University
  • 8. Wageningen University
  • 9. The University of British Columbia
  • 10. Argentine Museum of Natural Sciences
  • 11. Global Green Growth Institute
  • 12. Ministry of Environment of Egypt
  • 13. Addis Ababa University
  • 14. Universidad Austral de Chile
  • 15. INPE
  • 16. Universidade de Sao Paulo
  • 17. IFREMER
  • 18. National Institute of Rural Development and Panchayati Raj
  • 19. Universite Paris-Sud
  • 20. Australian National University
  • 21. Centre for World Economy Studies (CIEM)
  • 22. Boğaziçi University Institute of Environmental Sciences
  • 23. Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences (NIES)
  • 24. George Mason University
  • 25. Khazar University
  • 26. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency

Description

In line with its mandate, the IPBES task force on scenarios and models developed a methodological guidance to accompany the foundations of the Nature Futures Framework, a flexible tool to support the development of scenarios and models of desirable futures for people, nature and Mother Earth, welcomed by the IPBES Plenary in decision IPBES-9/1. The methodological guidance was further refined by the task force, and reviewed by the Multidisciplinary Expert Panel and the Bureau in May 2023. The current version was presented at IPBES 10 in document IPBES/10/INF/13 in August 2023.

The methodological guidance document consists of two parts:

  • Part I: The Foundations of the Nature Futures Framework, a flexible tool to support the development of scenarios and models of desirable futures for people, nature and Mother Earth, describing the rationale for, and concepts captured in, the Nature Futures Framework; and
  • Part II: A living methodological guidance that introduces the various methods with which the Nature Futures Framework can be used, and points to examples and additional resources for readers who wish to explore further technical details.

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