Deep decarbonisation pathways of the energy system in times of unprecedented uncertainty in the energy sector. Energy Policy (2023). Supplementary Information on Assumptions and Results

This dataset supplements the article with the title "Deep decarbonisation pathways of the energy system in times of unprecedented uncertainty in the energy sector", published in Energy Policy. 

The dataset contains the following:

• The Latin Hypercube Sample of the multipliers that are applied to the key input parameters of ETSAP-TIAM in order to generate 1000 different states of the world regarding economic and demographic growth, energy resources potentials, energy technology costs, climate sensitivity and radiative forcing, LULUCF CO₂ sink potential, CO₂ sequestration potential, and decoupling between energy consumption and economic development. The multipliers are sampled from the underlying probability distributions described in the article. 
• The results (at the global scale) from four scenario families for each one of the 1000 wofld states. These scenario families are:
  • BASE_SSP2: Describes the development of the global energy system consistent with recent trends and policies.
  • 2C_SSP2: Introduces to the BASE_SSP2 scenario a global constraint of 2 °C as the maximum post-industrial temperature change from 2020 to 2100.
  • 2C_SSP2_DA30: Delayed climate action. The climate change mitigation policies of 2C_SSP2 start in 2030. 
  • 1p5c_OS_SSP2: Introduces to the BASE_SSP2 scenario a global constraint of 1.5 °C as the maximum post-industrial temperature change from 2020 onwards to 2100

Key results included in the dataset are: Temperature change,  Radiative Forcing, GHG concentrations, CO2 emissions, Marginal abatement cost, Electricity Supply Primary Energy Consumption, and Annual Total Global Energy System Cost.

The dataset also includes sectoral results regarding energy consumption and use, such as shares of different electric uses, shares of hydrogen consumption in end-use sectors, hydrogen supply, Demand electrification by sector, Renewable energy consumption by sector, Alternative fuels consumption in transport, and Total final energy consumption by sector.