Multi-decadal stability of fish productivity despite increasing coral reef degradation

1.     Under current trajectories, it is unlikely that the coral reefs of the future will resemble those of the past. As multiple stressors, such as climate change and coastal development, continue to impact coral reefs, understanding the changes in ecosystem functioning is imperative to protect key ecosystem services.

2.     We used a 26-year dataset of benthic reef fishes (including cryptobenthic fishes) to identify multi-decadal trends in fish biomass production on a degraded coral reef. We converted fish abundances into estimates of community productivity to track the long-term trend of fish biomass production through time.

3.     Following the first mass coral bleaching event in 1998, the abundance, standing biomass, and productivity of fish communities remained remarkably constant through time, despite the occurrence of multiple stressors, including extreme sedimentation, cyclones, and mass coral bleaching events. Species richness declined following the 1998 bleaching event, but rebounded to pre-bleaching levels and also remained relatively stable.

4.     Although the species composition of the communities changed over time, these new community configurations still maintain a steady level of fish biomass production. While these highly dynamic and increasingly degraded systems can still provide some critical ecosystem functions, it is unclear whether these patterns will remain stable over future decades.