There is a newer version of the record available.

Published November 16, 2022 | Version v7.9
Software Open

AMTraC-19 Source Code: Agent-based Model of Transmission and Control of the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia

Description

The software implements an agent-based model for a fine-grained computational simulation of the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia. This model is calibrated to reproduce several features of COVID-19 transmission, including its age-dependent epidemiological characteristics. The individual-based epidemiological model accounts for mobility (worker and student commuting) patterns and human interactions derived from the Australian census and other national data sources. The high-precision simulation comprises approximately 24 million stochastically generated software agents and traces various scenarios of the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia. The software has been used to evaluate various intervention strategies, including (1) non-pharmaceutical interventions, such as restrictions on international air travel, case isolation, home quarantine, school closures, and stay-at-home restrictions with varying levels of compliance (i.e., "social distancing"), and (2) pharmaceutical interventions, such as pre-pandemic vaccination phase and progressive vaccination rollout.

The paper describing the model (Omicron variant) and the scenarios investigated with AMTRaC-19 (v7_9):

S. L. Chang, Q. D. Nguyen, A. Martiniuk, V. Sintchenko, T. C. Sorrell, M. Prokopenko, Persistence of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia: The impact of fluctuating social distancing, PLOS Global Public Health, 3(4): e0001427, 2023.

Please cite it, as well as other publications referenced below, when using the software.

The dataset generated during the study of the Omicron variant is also available on Zenodo:

S. L. Chang, Q. D. Nguyen & M. Prokopenko. (2022). AMTraC-19 (v7.9) Dataset: Persistence of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7325756

The paper describing the previous model (Delta variant) and the scenarios investigated with AMTRaC-19 (v7_7d):

S. L. Chang, C. Zachreson, O. M. Cliff, M. Prokopenko, Simulating transmission scenarios of the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia, Frontiers in Public Health, 10, 10.3389/fpubh.2022.823043, 2022.

The dataset generated during the study of the Delta variant is also available on Zenodo:

S. L. Chang, O. M. Cliff, C. Zachreson & M. Prokopenko. (2021). AMTraC-19 (v7.7d) Dataset: Simulating transmission scenarios of the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia (Version v1) [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5726241

Notes

This work was partially supported by the Australian Research Council grants DP200103005 and DP220101688 (MP and SLC). Additionally, CZ is supported in part by National Health and Medical Research Council project grant (APP1165876). AMTraC-19 is registered under The University of Sydney's invention disclosure CDIP Ref. 2020-018.

Files

AMTraC-19_v7_9.zip

Files (112.2 MB)

Name Size Download all
md5:a397775a9ed5a17000a1505f6dfcb6a5
112.2 MB Preview Download

Additional details

References

  • S. L. Chang, N. Harding, C. Zachreson, O. M. Cliff, M. Prokopenko, Modelling transmission and control of the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia, Nature Communications, 11, 5710, 2020.
  • C. Zachreson, S. L. Chang, O. M. Cliff, M. Prokopenko, How will mass-vaccination change COVID-19 lockdown requirements in Australia?, The Lancet Regional Health – Western Pacific, 14: 100224, 2021.
  • S. L. Chang, C. Zachreson, O. M. Cliff, M. Prokopenko, Simulating transmission scenarios of the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia, Frontiers in Public Health, 10, 10.3389/fpubh.2022.823043, 2022.
  • S. L. Chang, Q. D. Nguyen, A. Martiniuk, V. Sintchenko, T. C. Sorrell, M. Prokopenko, Persistence of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia: The impact of fluctuating social distancing, PLOS Global Public Health, 3(4): e0001427, 2023..