A Forensic Analysis of "Rubber Duck," a Publicly Available Video Showing a UAP Purportedly Filmed by Arizona National Guard on November 23, 2019

A multi-faceted, forensic-type analysis was conducted of what has been termed the “Rubber Duck” videos. These are two publicly available .mp4 files that appear to show an unidentified aerospace phenomenon (UAP) moving with no means of propulsion or aerodynamic means of lift across a desert environment. These two, 30 min clips, “Rubber Duck 1 & 2”, are claimed to be from an anonymous source at the Department of Homeland Security. They were purportedly taken from a FLIR camera system onboard a RC-26B aircraft used by the Arizona Air National Guard on November 23, 2019. Data displayed on both videos are consistent with video being taken while in flight over the route described by the source. SCU was provided these videos by podcaster Andy Marcial. Kinematics, trajectory, rotation, flight characteristics (including parallax), lighting and temperature are investigated, as well as environmental weather conditions. The results of this analysis support the conclusion that the object cannot be explained as any known natural phenomenon or by any known technology used for aeronautical propulsion. As such, the object can be classified as a UAP. Such objects can be a hazard to aerial transportation, a dangerous distraction to pilots in certain situations, and are worthy of scientific investigation.