Refining the "Paris Test" for Ireland's second Carbon Budgeting programme

A "Paris Test" is a test of a fair national share of global climate action that is set out by a Party to the Paris Agreement that attempts to set a reasoned basis for what is necessary to align its climate action with meeting the Paris temperature goal equitably. The need for such a test is implied within the bottom-up architecture of the agreement, in order for a Party to show a reasoned quantified basis (including explicit value judgements) to assert its climate action is aligned with the Paris Agreement temperature goal and implementation on the basis of equity.

In this research, the ground-breaking "Paris Test" in the 2021 Climate Change Advisory Council 2021 Carbon Budget Technical Report is clarified and refined toward Ireland's second carbon budgeting cycle to be completed by 2024. Qualitative and quantitative issues are identified and recommendations are made for the second carbon budgeting programme advice to be delivered by the end of 2024.

This is a pdf version of the slides presented by Paul R Price to the Climate Change Advisory Council's Carbon Budgets Modelling Workshop, 18 October 2022. A video version of the presentation is at the following link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wiQQQprSrCE

This Carbon Budgeting Fellowship research at Dublin City University is funded by the Climate Change Advisory Council (Ireland). The Dublin City University fellowship supervisors for this research are Prof. Barry McMullin and Dr. Aideen O’Dochartaigh