Published October 21, 2022 | Version v1
Journal article Open

Proposing DAPP-MR as a disaster risk management pathways framework for complex, dynamic multi-risk

  • 1. Deltares, VU Amsterdam
  • 2. Deltares
  • 3. VU Amsterdam, Deltares
  • 4. VU Amsterdam

Description

Climate change impacts are increasingly complex owing to compounding, interacting, and cascading risks across sectors. However, approaches to support Disaster Risk Management (DRM) addressing the underlying (uncertain) risk driver interactions are still  lacking. We tailor the approach of Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways (DAPP) to DAPP-MR to design DRM pathways for complex,  dynamic multi-risk in multi-sector systems. We review the recent multi-hazard and multi-sector research to identify relevant aspects  of multi-risk management frameworks and illustrate the suitability of DAPP-MR using a stylized case. It is found that rearranging the  analytical steps of DAPP by introducing three iteration stages can help to capture interactions, trade-offs, and synergies across  hazards and sectors. We show that DAPP-MR may guide multi-sector processes to stepwise integrate knowledge toward  multi-risk management. DAPP-MR can be seen as an analytical basis and first step toward an operational, integrative, and  interactive framework for short-to long-term multi-risk DRM. 

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Additional details

Funding

COASTMOVE – What drives human behavior regarding global coastal migration and adaptation in response to sea level rise and extreme flood events? 884442
European Commission
MYRIAD-EU – Multi-hazard and sYstemic framework for enhancing Risk-Informed mAnagement and Decision-making in the E.U. 101003276
European Commission