Published April 23, 2021 | Version v1
Dataset Open

Reconstructing Ecological Niche Evolution via Ancestral State Reconstruction with Uncertainty Incorporated

  • 1. University of Copenhagen
  • 2. Stockholm Environment Institute
  • 3. University of Oxford
  • 4. University of Kansas
  • 5. University of Chicago
  • 6. Ain Shams University
  • 7. University of Florida
  • 8. National Autonomous University of Mexico

Description

Reconstructing ecological niche evolution can provide insight into the biogeography and diversification of evolving lineages. However, comparative phylogenetic methods can infer the history of ecological niche evolution inaccurately because (1) species' niches are often poorly characterized; and (2) phylogenetic comparative methods rely on niche summary statistics rather than full estimates of species' environmental tolerances. Here we propose a new framework for coding ecological niches and reconstructing their evolution that explicitly acknowledges and incorporates the uncertainty introduced by incomplete niche characterization. Then, we modify existing ancestral state inference methods to leverage full estimates of environmental tolerances. We provide a worked empirical example of our method, investigating ecological niche evolution in the New World orioles (Aves: Passeriformes: Icterus spp.). Temperature and precipitation tolerances were generally broad and conserved among orioles, with niche reduction and specialization limited to a few terminal branches. Tools for performing these reconstructions are available in a new R package called nichevol.

Notes

Note the orioles phylogeny has not been included. It can be found via the following citation:

Powell, A. F., F. K. Barker, S. M. Lanyon, K. J. Burns, J. Klicka, and I. J. Lovette. 2014. A comprehensive species-level molecular phylogeny of the New World blackbirds (Icteridae). Molecular Phylogenetics and Evolution 71:94-112.

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