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Published December 24, 2020 | Version v1
Journal article Open

The Use of Information Technologies for Analysis of Epidemiological Situation

  • 1. Kiev National University of Culture and Arts
  • 2. State University of Infrastructure and Technology

Description

The aim of the article is to find optimal methods of trend building in order to analyze the epidemiological situation in case of further development of the COVID-19 pandemic. The tasks arisen due to the increase in infection cases in the fall of 2020 are considered in detail.

The research methodology lies in the generalization of the least Gaussian squares method and Facebook Prophet methodology.

The novelty of the study is a comparative analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of systems used for online processing of statistical data, in particular, MS Excel spreadsheets.

Conclusions. The material presented in the article gives clear examples of statistical calculations using widely used software products. The problems arising from the reliability of statistical information have been considered. Examples of real calculations of trends in the epidemiological situation have been presented.

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The_Use_of_Information_Technologies_for_Analysis_of_Epidemiological_Situation.pdf