Published September 1, 2026 | Version 1

Ecological risk due to future flow alteration across the 7 European STARS4Water river basins for 56 climate and hydrological model ensemble combinations

  • 1. ROR icon UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology

Contributors

  • 1. ROR icon UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology

Description

This dataset presents the ecological risk across 7 European river basin hubs, calculated by the Ecological Risk due to Flow Alteration (ERFA) tool for an ensemble of 56 climate simulation and hydrological model combinations across two future periods. Results are provided for ~5300 sub-catchments within the seven STARS4Water basins (Danube, Douro, Drammen, East Anglia, Messara, Rhine, Seine).

The tool analyses the ecological impact of river flow under 8 EURO-CORDEX (EUR11) climate scenarios, each with 7 hydrological model ensemble members from EHYPEcatch. The period 1971-2000 was taken as the baseline, 2031-2060 for the near future and 2061-2090 for the far future.

This study is part of the STARS4Water project, aiming to improve the understanding of climate change impacts on water resources availability and the vulnerabilities for ecosystems, society and the economy at river basin scale: https://stars4water.eu/

Files

S4W_ERFA_Europe.zip

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Additional details

Related works

Cites
Dataset: 10.5281/zenodo.581451 (DOI)
Is derived from
Dataset: 10.24381/cds.73237ad6 (DOI)
Is described by
Project deliverable: Beckers, J., M. Grady, C. Laize and S. Szporak-Wasilewska (2025): Next generation water resources data services. Horizon Europe project STARS4Water. Deliverable D2.6. (Other)
Is referenced by
Presentation: Cedric Laize, Zara Crapper, Helen Baron, Wilson Chan, Manuel-Angel Duenas, Virginie Keller, Nathan Rickards. Future ecological risk due to climate and human-induced flow alteration in seven European river basins. HydroEco 2026, Birmingham 14-19 September 2026 (Other)

Funding

European Commission
STARS4Water - Supporting STakeholders for Adaptive, Resilient and Sustainable Water Management 101059372
UK Research and Innovation
STARS4Water - Supporting STakeholders for Adaptive, Resilient and Sustainable Water Management 10040360