TipESM

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Published November 29, 2025 | Version v1
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Earth System Insights

Description

Drawing on work from six Horizon Europe projects (ESM2025, ClimTip, TipESM, OptimESM, nextGEMS and RESCUE) and a third policy forum held in September 2025, this Earth System Insights briefing summarises the latest evidence on how human emissions are changing the climate and what this means for mitigation and risk management. It explores:

A. How can we track progress in the real world and anticipate risks?

B. How effectively will our actions result in a peak and decline in global warming?

C. How stable are global climate processes and what are the global and regional impacts of climatic instability?

D. Research gaps.

Files

Earth-System-Insights-Policy-Briefing.pdf

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Additional details

Related works

Cites
Publication: 10.5281/ zenodo.10357542 (DOI)

Funding

European Commission
ESM2025 - Earth system models for the future 101003536
European Commission
TipESM - Exploring Tipping Points and Their Impacts Using Earth System Models 101137673
European Commission
OptimESM - Optimal High Resolution Earth System Models for Exploring Future Climate Changes 101081193
European Commission
ClimTip - Climate Tipping Points: Uncertainty-aware quantification of Earth system tipping potential from observations and models and assessment of associated climatic, ecological, and socioeconomic impacts 101137601
European Commission
NextGEMS - Next Generation Earth Modelling Systems 101003470
European Commission
RESCUE - Response of the Earth System to overshoot, Climate neUtrality and negative Emissions 101056939