Published May 11, 2026 | Version v1
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The Amazon - a potential tipping point in the Earth's climate system

  • 1. ROR icon Barcelona Institute for Global Health
  • 2. ISGlobal - Barcelona Institute for Global Health

Description

A factsheet on the Amazon as a potential tipping point in the Earth's climate system.

What is the concern?

The Amazon rainforest system is under extreme pressure, with 17%–20% of the forested area cleared over the past 50 years, the majority of which was converted into agricultural land. Of the remaining forest, 38% is currently considered degraded and at risk of disappearing. The combination of stressors originating both from climate change and deforestation could trigger a partial or total dieback of the Amazon rainforest in the near future, resulting in a critical transition from tropical forest to savanna.

Files

Factsheet TipESM - Amazon a potential tipping point (1).pdf

Files (3.2 MB)

Additional details

Funding

European Commission
TipESM - Exploring Tipping Points and Their Impacts Using Earth System Models 101137673