Heatwave Projected Risk Assessment – EURO-CORDEX Based Climate Indices (RCP4.5 & RCP8.5) – Aydın Province, Türkiye - CliResDairy

The risk component quantifies projected Projected Change in Heatwave Exposure and Impact  from EURO-CORDEX regional climate simulations (12 km resolution) for Aydın, Türkiye under CLIMAAX Project.

The risk assessment evaluates:

• Increase in number of heatwave events

• Increase in duration of heatwaves

• Dairy farms exposed to extreme heat

Outputs include:

• Projected change maps (RCP4.5 & RCP8.5)

• Difference rasters relative to historical baseline

• Spatial summaries per administrative district

Unit:

• Exposed dairy farms

• Change in heatwave events (events/year)

heatwave_risk_projected_change.ipynb

• Reproducible Jupyter Notebook

Folder Structure

├── plots_aydin
│   ├── Aydin_fairy_farm_population_density.png
│   ├── Aydin_heatwave_occurance.png
│   ├── Aydin_heatwave_occurrence_relative_change.png
│   ├── Aydin_heatwave_occurrence_relative_change_magnitude.png
│   ├── Aydin_heatwave_risk.png
│   ├── Aydin_heatwave_risk_dairy_farms.png
│   └── Aydin_region.png
├── plots_aydin.zip
├── results_aydin
│   ├── population_classified_regions.cpg
│   ├── population_classified_regions.dbf
│   ├── population_classified_regions.prj
│   ├── population_classified_regions.shp
│   ├── population_classified_regions.shx
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.cpg
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.dbf
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.prj
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.shp
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.shx
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.cpg
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.dbf
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.prj
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.shp
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.shx
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.cpg
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.dbf
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.prj
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.shp
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.shx
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.cpg
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.dbf
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.prj
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.shp
│   ├── reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.shx
│   ├── relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.cpg
│   ├── relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.dbf
│   ├── relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.prj
│   ├── relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.shp
│   ├── relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.shx
│   ├── relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.cpg
│   ├── relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.dbf
│   ├── relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.prj
│   ├── relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.shp
│   ├── relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.shx
│   ├── relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.cpg
│   ├── relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.dbf
│   ├── relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.prj
│   ├── relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.shp
│   ├── relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.shx
│   ├── relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.cpg
│   ├── relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.dbf
│   ├── relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.prj
│   ├── relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.shp
│   ├── relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.shx
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.cpg
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.dbf
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.prj
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.shp
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2016_2045.shx
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.cpg
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.dbf
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.prj
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.shp
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp45_2046_2075.shx
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.cpg
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.dbf
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.prj
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.shp
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2016_2045.shx
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.cpg
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.dbf
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.prj
│   ├── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.shp
│   └── sum_class_reclassified_relative_change_rcp85_2046_2075.shx