Published February 10, 2026
| Version v1
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Discrete Chi-square Method can model and forecast El Niño
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Description
Here, we show that our Discrete Chi-square Method (DCM) can model and forecast the El Niño phenomenon between the
years 1870 and 2024. This result may be the “holy grail” of climatology. The solar forcing most probably causes the detected
5.850 ± 0.085, 12.82 ± 0.40 and 19.30 ± 0.83 year signals. These strict periodicities indicate that the solar cycle is caused by the
planets. Our results confirm that the DCM is an ideal time series analysis method for detecting an unknown number of signals
superimposed on an unkown trend.
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Additional details
Software
- Programming language
- Python