Published January 31, 2026 | Version v1
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Aluminum Adjuvants, Autoimmunity, and Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Comprehensive Mechanistic, Neuropathological, and Legal Analysis

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Abstract

Background: Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) prevalence has increased 80-fold from 2–4:10,000 in 1960 to 1:31 in children born in 2014, temporally correlating with expansion of the childhood vaccine schedule from 3 doses to 28 doses by age 2 years (Pearson r = 0.91, p = 0.0015). Despite this correlation, aluminum adjuvants have never undergone dedicated neurotoxicity testing, and the 1986 National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act shields manufacturers from liability. This manuscript evaluates whether aluminum adjuvants contribute to ASD in genetically susceptible individuals.

Methods: We reviewed over 200 peer-reviewed studies (1965–2025) spanning immunology, neuropathology, epidemiology, genetics, and toxicology, organized using the Bradford Hill criteria for causation. Analysis included mechanistic pathways, postmortem neuropathology, genetic susceptibility factors, epidemiological correlations, animal models, and autoimmune syndrome parallels.

Results: Evidence satisfies all nine Bradford Hill criteria for causation. Aluminum adjuvants activate the NLRP3 inflammasome, triggering IL-1β production, blood-brain barrier compromise, microglial activation, T-lymphocyte infiltration, astrocyte attack, and complement-mediated synaptic pruning dysregulation. Postmortem studies reveal perivascular T-lymphocyte cuffs in 65% of ASD brains versus 5% of controls (13-fold increase), with elevated CD8+/CD4+ ratios and granzyme B expression indicating cytotoxic immune attack. Additional findings include astrocyte damage, microglial activation, dysregulated complement components (C1q, C3, C4), elevated pro-inflammatory cytokines (IL-1β, IL-6, TNF-α, IFN-γ), and glutamate transporter abnormalities consistent with excitotoxic vulnerability.

Genetic variants create vulnerability: HLA-DR4 alleles confer significantly increased ASD risk; MTHFR C677T and A1298C polymorphisms (present in 40–60% of ASD cases) impair glutathione synthesis; GST variants impair aluminum detoxification; and complement gene variants alter synaptic pruning thresholds. These factors render individuals unable to adequately detoxify aluminum or mount controlled immune responses during critical developmental windows (3 months–3 years).

When reviewed in detail, this proposed mechanism of aluminum adjuvants in the pathogenesis of ASD meets all nine of the Bradford Hill criteria for causation, which strongly supports a causal relationship.

Conclusions: Converging mechanistic, neuropathological, epidemiological, and genetic evidence demonstrates that aluminum adjuvants can trigger ASD in genetically susceptible individuals through well-characterized neuroinflammatory pathways. The 80-fold increase in ASD prevalence temporally correlating with vaccine schedule expansion, combined with robust biological mechanisms and postmortem findings, demands urgent re-examination of aluminum adjuvant safety in the context of neurodevelopment, particularly in genetically vulnerable populations.

Keywords: Autism Spectrum Disorder, Vaccine Adjuvants, Aluminum Neurotoxicity, NLRP3 Inflammasome, Neuroinflammation, T-Lymphocyte Infiltration, Complement System, Synaptic Pruning, HLA-DR4, MTHFR, ASIA Syndrome

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