Published November 29, 2017 | Version v1
Poster Open

Long-term acclimatization scenarios of temperature-related mortality in Europe

  • 1. ISGglobal
  • 2. INSERM, Démographie et santé, CRLC, Montpellier, France
  • 3. Geneva Medical School and University Hospitals, Thonex, Switzerland
  • 4. Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats (ICREA), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain


Poster presented by Joan Ballester at the EC/EASME workshop „Climate services at work, Projects exchange and networking lab", Brussels (BE)

Aim: We show the link between temperature, humidity and daily numbers of deaths in nearly 200 European regions, which are used to infer transient projections of mortality under state-of-the-art high-resolution climate change simulations.
Results: The rise in heat-related mortality will start to completely compensate the reduction of deaths from cold during the second half of the century. Nevertheless, projections suggest that human lifespan might indeed increase if a substantial degree of adaptation to warm temperatures takes place.



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Blue-Action – Arctic Impact on Weather and Climate 727852
European Commission
Climate-fit.City – Pan-European Urban Climate Services 730004
European Commission