Adjusted LOLE and EENS Indices for the Consideration of Load Excess Transfer in Power Systems Adequacy Studies
Creators
Description
When evaluating the capacity of a generation park to cover the load in transmission systems, traditional Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE) and Expected Energy not Served (EENS) indices can be used. If those indices allow computing the annual duration and severity of load non covering situations, they do not take into account the fact that the load excess is generally shifted from one penury state (hour or quarter of an hour) to the following one. In this paper, a sequential Monte Carlo framework is introduced in order to compute adjusted LOLE and EENS indices. Practically, those adapted indices permit to consider the effect of load excess transfer on the global adequacy of a generation park, providing thus a more accurate evaluation of this quantity.
Files
10003152.pdf
Files
(176.9 kB)
| Name | Size | Download all |
|---|---|---|
|
md5:9b014d0ca5c06fa5a72404dc3d3a461e
|
176.9 kB | Preview Download |
Additional details
References
- R. Karki, P. Hu, "Wind Power Simulation Model for Reliability Evaluation", IEEE CCECE/CCGEI, Saskatoon, Canada, May 2005.
- R. Billinton, G. Bai, "Generating Capacity Adequacy Associated With Wind Energy", IEEE Trans. on Energy Conversion, Vol. 19, n°3, pp. 641-646, Sept. 2004.
- R. Karki, R. Billinton, "Cost-Effective Wind Energy Utilization for Reliable Power Supply", IEEE Trans. on Energy Conversion, Vol. 19, n°2, pp. 435-440, June 2004.
- R. Billinton, R.N. Allan, "Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems", 2nd Edition, Springer, chap. 1, pp. 10-11, 1996.
- F. Vallée, J. Lobry, O. Deblecker, "System Reliability Assessment Method for Wind Power Integration", IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 23, no. 3, pp. 1288-1297, Aug. 2008.
- A. Sankarakrishnan, R. Billinton, "Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation for Composite Power System Reliability Analysis with Time Varying Loads", IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 1540-1545, Aug. 1995.
- L-B. Fang, J-D. Cai, "Reliability Assessment of Microgrid Using Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation" Journal of Electronic Science & Technology, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 31-34, March 2011.
- G. Vancells, S. Herraiz, J. Meléndez, A. Ferreira, "Analysis of Importance of Components in Power Systems using Time Sequential Simulation", International Conference on Renewable Energies and Power Quality, ICREPQ'13, April 2013.
- R. Billinton, A. Sankarakrishnan, "Adequacy Assessment of Composite power Systems with HVDC Links Using Monte Carlo Simulation", IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 9, no. 3, pp.1626-1633, Aug. 1994. [10] Reliability Test System Task Force of the Application of Probability Methods Subcommittee, "IEEE Reliability Test System", IEEE Trans. Power Apparatus & Systems, vol. 6, pp. 2047-2054, Dec. 1979. [11] A.M.L. Da Silva, L.C. De Resende, L.A. Da Fonseca Manso, R. Billinton "Well-Being Analysis for Composite Generation and Transmission Systems", IEEE Trans. Power Syst., November 2004, Vol. 19, N°4, pp.1763-1770.