Published November 10, 2017 | Version v1
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RAINFALL FORECASTOF ANDHRA PRADESH USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS

  • 1. Department of Statistics, Sri Venkateswara University, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh
  • 2. Department of Mathematics, NIT Hamirpur, Himachal Pradesh
  • 3. Department of H&S, S.V Engineering College, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh

Description

Forecasting monthly mean rainfall of Andhra Pradesh (India)using seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) modeland artificial neural networks (ANN)has been discussed.In this paper, we have given the prediction values according to SARIMA and neural network models, in whichwe found that the ARIMA (1,0,0)(2,0,0)[12] for actual dataand ARIMA (3,0,0)(2,0,0)[12] for rainfall differenceshas been fitted.The significance test has been made by using lowest AIC and BIC values. 

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References

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