Published November 13, 2023 | Version v1
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FOUR STAGES OF NUCLEAR WINTER MODELING

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Abstract

Forecasts of a nuclear winter that can result from a large-scale nuclear war were obtained si First forecasts of a Nuclear winter that will result from a large-scale nuclear war were obtained simultaneously and independently by scientists of the USSR and the USA in 1983-1985. The main factor causing a Nuclear winter is the powerful fires that have arisen as a result of the bombing of large cities, which have turned into "fire tornadoes". The magnitude of the temperature drop at different points of the earth's surface ranges from -5 to -50 degrees. The forecasts received by Soviet scientists of the USSR in 1988 are presented. for the case of the consequences of a large-scale nuclear war for an isolated human population and obtained by US scientists for the regional war between India and Pakistan in 2008-2022. The simulation results showed that the consequences of this regional conflict can have significant global consequences.

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