Connecting hydrological modelling and forecasting from global to local scales: Perspectives from an international joint virtual workshop
- Antara Dasgupta1
- Louise Arnal2
- Rebecca Emerton3
- Shaun Harrigan3
- Gwyneth Matthews3
- Ameer Muhammad4
- Karen O'Regan3
-
Teresa Pérez-Ciria5
- Emixi Valdez6
- Bart van Osnabrugge2
- Micha Werner7
- Carlo Buontempo8
- Hannah Cloke3
- Florian Pappenberger3
- Ilias G. Pechlivanidis9
- Christel Prudhomme3
- Maria-Helena Ramos10
- Peter Salamon11
- 1. Remote Sensing Working Group, Institute of Informatics, University of Osnabrueck, Osnabrück, Germany
- 2. Centre for Hydrology, University of Saskatchewan, Canmore, Saskatchewan, Canada
- 3. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Reading, UK
- 4. Department of Civil Engineering, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada
- 5. Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, Germany
- 6. Department of Civil and Water engineering, Université Laval, Québec, Canada
- 7. Water Resources and Ecosystems Department, IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Delft, The Netherlands
- 8. Copernicus Climate Change Service, ECMWF, Reading, UK
- 9. Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), Norrköping, Sweden
- 10. Université Paris-Saclay, INRAE, UR HYCAR, Antony, France
- 11. European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy
Description
The unprecedented progress in ensemble hydro-meteorological modelling and forecasting on a range of temporal and spatial scales, raises a variety of new challenges which formed the theme of the Joint Virtual Workshop,‘Connecting global to local hydrological modelling and forecasting: challenges and scientific advances’. Held from 29 June to 1 July 2021, this workshop was co-organised by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the Copernicus Emergency Management (CEMS) and Climate Change (C3S) Services, the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction EXperiment (HEPEX), and the Global Flood Partnership (GFP). This article aims to summarise the state-of-the-art presented at the workshop and provide an early career perspective. Recent advances in hydrological modelling and forecasting,reflections on the use of forecasts for decision-making across scales, and meansto minimise new barriers to communication in the virtual format are also dis-cussed. Thematic foci of the workshop included hydrological model develop-ment and skill assessment, uncertainty communication, forecasts for early action, co-production of services and incorporation of local knowledge, Earth observation, and data assimilation. Connecting hydrological services to societalneeds and local decision-making through effective communication, capacity-building and co-production was identified as critical. Multidisciplinary collaborations emerged as crucial to effectively bring newly developed tools to practice.