Spatial-Temporal Dynamics of Gas Consumption in England and Wales: Assessing the Residential Sector Using Sequence Analysis.

The UK’s residential sector has not decarbonised due to an inefficient housing stock with a reliance on natural gas. This paper uses sequence and clustering algorithms to identify four consumption trajectory groups within English and Welsh neighbourhoods between 2010-2020. These are labelled “Very High to High Consumption”; “High to Medium Consumption”; “Medium to Low Consumption” and “Low to Very Low Consumption”. The results help for the location of electrification and retrofitting policies. Targeting areas of continual-high consumption will accelerate decarbonisation. Whereas targeting areas who under consume and may be in fuel poverty will enhance the occupants well-being and finances.