Future seasonal changes in habitat for Arctic whales during predicted ocean warming
Creators
- 1. Greenland Institute of Natural Resources*
- 2. Norwegian Polar Institute
- 3. Russian Academy of Sciences
- 4. Aarhus University
- 5. Technical University of Denmark
Description
Ocean warming is causing shifts in the distributions of marine species, but the location of suitable habitats in the future is unknown, especially in remote regions such as the Arctic. Using satellite tracking data from a 28-year long period, covering all three endemic Arctic cetaceans (227 individuals) in the Atlantic sector of the Arctic, together with climate models under two emission scenarios, species distributions were projected to assess responses of these whales to climate change by the end of the century. While contrasting responses were observed across species and seasons, long-term predictions suggest northward shifts (243 km in summer vs. 121 km in winter) in distribution to cope with climate change. Current summer habitats will decline (mean loss: -25%), while some expansion into new winter areas (mean gain: +3%) is likely. However, comparing gains vs. losses raises serious concerns about the ability of these polar species to deal with the disappearance of traditional colder habitats.
Notes
Funding provided by: Norwegian Research Council
Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100005416
Award Number: 244488/E10
Funding provided by: Norwegian Polar Institute
Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100013265
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Funding provided by: Norway-Russia Environment Commission*
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Funding provided by: Office of Naval Research
Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000006
Award Number: N00014-13-1-0854
Funding provided by: Commission for Scientific Research in Greenland*
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Funding provided by: Danish Cooperation for the Environment in the Arctic *
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Funding provided by: The Carlsberg Foundation*
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Funding provided by: The Greenland Institute of Natural Resources*
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Funding provided by: Environmental Agency for Mineral Resource Activities of the Government of Greenland*
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Funding provided by: Office of Naval Research
Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000006
Award Number: N00014-14-1-0424
Funding provided by: Office of Naval Research
Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000006
Award Number: N00014-17-1-2233
Files
Locations_3species_West-East_Greenland.csv
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Additional details
Related works
- Is cited by
- https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-27966-1 (URL)
- https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-75658-6 (URL)