Published October 28, 2021 | Version v1
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Climate change weakens carbon sinks and further amplifies climate change

  • 1. University of Exeter
  • 2. University of Colorado
  • 3. University College London and University of Leeds
  • 4. Northern Arizona University
  • 5. University of East Anglia

Description

This ScienceBrief Review examines the links between climate change (warming) and the carbon cycle where amplifying feedbacks can strengthen climate change. It synthesises findings from more than 130 peer-reviewed scientific articles gathered using ScienceBrief. The evidence suggests that climate change affects carbon cycle processes in a way that amplifies the increase of CO2 in the atmosphere and causes additional warming. Models suggest that climate change would act to reduce carbon sinks, leading to an additional increase in atmospheric CO2 of about 10 to 70 parts per million (ppm) per degree Celsius of global warming on decadal to century time scales. Additional carbon feedbacks from permafrost thawing and methane hydrates are uncertain but probably add no more than 30% above this range on century timescales. No runaway carbon-climate feedbacks are anticipated this century.

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Funding

VERIFY – Observation-based system for monitoring and verification of greenhouse gases 776810
European Commission
4C – Climate-Carbon Interactions in the Current Century 821003
European Commission