CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON PROJECTED PV POWER POTENTIAL UNDER RCP 8.5 SCENARIO IN BURUNDI
Creators
- 1. Institute of Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Abomey-Calavi, P.O. Box. 613 Porto-Novo, Benin
- 2. Laboratory of Applied Hydrology, National Institute of Water, University of Abomey-Calavi, P.O. Box 2041 Calavi, Benin
- 3. Département des Sciences Naturelles, Ecole Normale Supérieure du Burundi, P.O. Box. 6983 Bujumbura, Burundi
- 4. Université de Dédougou, P.O. Box 176 Dédougou, Burkina Faso
Description
This work focuses on analysis of climate change effects on
Photovoltaic (PV) power output in the Eastern and Northeastern of
Burundi. Monthly temperature data from meteorological stations and solar
irradiance data provided by SoDa database were considered as observed
dataset for the historical period 1981
-2010. Projection climate data from
eight Regional Climate Models of CORDEX for Africa were used over the
near future period 2021
-2050. The change in temperature and solar
irradiance were analyzed and the e
ffects of these climate changes were
assessed to show their impacts on PV power potential. The results
indicated increasing trends and change in temperature for about 2°C over
this near future period. The solar irradiance change was revealed negative
with
a high interannual variation for all regions and the mean decrease
ranges between 2 and 4 W/m². The findings revealed also a negative
change in PV power potential close to zero for all regions with a high
change occurred in NLL. Indeed, the contribution of
each parameter to PV
power potential change was negative all over regions. However, the
projected climate change does not predict a huge PV power potential
change by 2050. Therefore, Burundi may invest in producing electricity
energy from PV systems
.
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01_IJRG20_B04_3306.pdf
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