Published May 15, 2020 | Version v1
Journal article Open

Economic and mathematical modeling of risks of introduction of information and communication technologies

Description

The subject of the research is economic and mathematical modeling of risks of informatization of
economic relations at the level of the state and regions.
The purpose of the study is to determine the parameters of economic and mathematical modeling
of the risks of the introduction of modern information and communication technologies.
Research methods. The dialectical method of scientific knowledge, method of analysis and
synthesis, comparative method, method of generalization of data are used in the work.
Results of work. The classes of methods and models of economic and mathematical modeling
of risks at the macroeconomic level, in particular the methods of elementary mathematics, methods
of mathematical analysis and mathematical statistics, methods of mathematical programming and
a number of applied mathematical theories of ICT risk modeling are highlighted in the paper. Special attention
is paid to the peculiarities of application of statistical methods and models in the above area.
Conclusions. The results of the study were the following conclusions. A key feature of statistical
methods and models for reflecting the impact of ICT risks at the national and regional levels is the
multidimensional nature of their application. Yes, they can be used individually or serve as the basis for
a large number of predictive and econometric models. This group combines many different methods,
including table method, balance, comparison, grouping, generalization, index, dynamic series, statistical
observation, average values, correlation and regression methods, classifications.

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