Prediction of Carbon Emission Effects Caused by Industrial Segments Restructure in China

This paper reclassifies the industrial segments in China based on the goals of low-carbon economy. Applying a dynamic multi-objective model, it predicts efficiency of carbon emission after the adjustment of industrial sector restructure in the following 5 five years, and provides some theoretical supports for policy establishments. As shown by this research, the industrial reorganization and restructuring may well coordinate the triangle relations among “carbon reduction-economic rise-employment growth”, which universally magnify the effects of carbon reduction. Based on the investigation and analysis via multi-objective optimization model, we conclude to the carbon emission effects on different classes of industries.