Journal article Open Access

Simulated Reduction in Atlantic Hurricane Frequency Under Twenty-First-Century Warming Conditions

Knutson, Thomas R.; Thomas Knutson, T.; Joseph Sirutis, J.; Sirutis, Joseph J.; Vecchi, Gabriel A.; Garner, Stephen T.; Stephen Garner, S.; Gabriel Vecchi, G.; Isaac Held, I.

Using projected boundary conditions for the end of the twenty-first century, the frequency of Atlantic tropical cyclones and hurricanes in a regional climate model of the Atlantic basin is reduced compared with observed boundary conditions at the end of the twentieth century. This is inconsistent with the idea that higher levels of atmospheric greenhouse gases will result in increased Atlantic hurricane activity.

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