Heatwave Risk Dataset – District-Level Fertility Loss, Milk Production Loss and Economic Impact (Historical, RCP4.5 & RCP8.5) for Aydın Province, Türkiye (CliResDairy)

This dataset contains the risk component of the dairy-sector heatwave assessment for Aydın Province, Türkiye, developed under the CLIMAAX project.

The dataset quantifies the impact of projected heat stress (Temperature–Humidity Index, THI) on:

• Fertility loss (%)
• Milk production loss (liters)
• Economic loss (local currency)
• Cooling-related electricity costs

File: Fertility_Loss_daily_ensemble_district_level.xlsx

• Daily fertility loss (%)
• District-level aggregation
• Ensemble median values
• Historical period (1976–2005)
• Future projections:
  • RCP4.5 (2041–2070)
  • RCP8.5 (2041–2070)

File: HSDD_milk_and_economical_loss_ensemble_district_level.xlsx

Contains yearly aggregated results including:

• Heat Stress Degree Days (HSDD)
• Milk production loss (liters)
• Economic loss (TL or EUR)
• Cooling electricity cost
• Results per district
• Ensemble statistics
• Historical period (1976–2005)
• Future projections:
  • RCP4.5 (2041–2070)
  • RCP8.5 (2041–2070)

File: Plots.zip

• District-level maps of:
• HSDD
• Fertility loss (%)
• Milk loss
• Economic loss
• Cooling electricity cost
• Historical vs future periods

Reproducible Risk Assessment Workflow

File: 01_Heatwave_Risk_Assessment.ipynb

Contains the full modelling workflow used to generate the risk results, including:

• Processing of THI hazard outputs
• Calculation of HSDD
• Fertility loss computation
• Milk production loss estimation
• Economic loss calculation
• District-level aggregation
• Ensemble statistics
• Visualisation procedures