LAB #4478 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 31.5% to 32.3% ( — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 31.5% to 32.3% (+0.8pp, n=1536) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the MANIPULATION-phase filter over the current live window would have removed the three wkjudas trades (GBPUSD LONG, USDJPY SHORT, NZDUSD SHORT) — all three were losses, so the filter would have converted a 4W/3L record into 4W/0L, a +37.5pp swing in win rate on this small sample. However, it would also have removed the two rizzy7m trades that are currently REJECTED/open (AUDUSD LONG, USDCHF LONG) — but those are not yet resolved, so the net immediate effect is strictly positive: +3 losses removed, no wins touched. PnL delta on this window would be roughly +3R (assuming ~1R average loss per removed trade), but the sample is tiny (n=10) and dominated by a single strategy family (wkjudas), so this is not evidence of general efficacy. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, a +0.8pp win-r

Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com