Published October 21, 2026 | Version v1

LAB #4462 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Session = LONDON_OPEN — improves win rate from 31.5% to 34.8% (+3.3pp, n — E8 Intelligence Research

Authors/Creators

  • 1. Independent Researcher, United Kingdom

Description

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Session = LONDON_OPEN — improves win rate from 31.5% to 34.8% (+3.3pp, n=379) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a LONDON_OPEN-only filter (roughly 08:00–12:00 UTC) would have excluded all 10 live trades listed, since every entry timestamp falls outside that window (earliest 02:43, latest 15:08). That means zero trades would have fired — eliminating the 4 wins, 3 losses, and 3 open/rejected positions. Net PnL delta is indeterminate but likely negative in absolute terms (you forfeit the 4 wins), though win rate would mathematically rise to 0/0 — undefined, not 34.8%. The backtest improvement (+3.3pp) is not observable in this window because no trade qualifies; the filter is effectively a gate that stops all current activity. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, restricting to LONDON_OPEN will drastically cut trade frequency — likely by 70–90% given your current entries cluster in Asian and early NY sessi

Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Notes

ASC Watermark: ASC-1271517 | Published via Hermes E8 Intelligence Platform | e8intelligence.com

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