LAB #4441 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = DISTRIBUTION — improves win rate from 31.5% to 36.3% ( — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = DISTRIBUTION — improves win rate from 31.5% to 36.3% (+4.7pp, n=113) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the DISTRIBUTION-phase filter over the current live window would have blocked the three wkjudas entries (GBPUSD LONG, USDJPY SHORT, NZDUSD SHORT) — all three closed as LOSSES. It would also have blocked the AUDUSD SHORT via rizzy7m (a LOSS) and the two REJECTED/open trades (EURJPY SHORT, AUDUSD LONG) which are currently unresolved. The five remaining rizzy trades (4 wins, 1 loss) would have yielded a 80% win rate vs. the observed 50% (4W/4L among closed), a clear PnL improvement of roughly +2.5R to +3R on this small sample. However, the filter also removes all wkjudas signals — if wkjudas has positive expectancy in other phases, this window overstates the benefit. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, the filter would likely raise win rate from ~31.5% toward ~36% as backtested, but th

Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com