Published October 17, 2026 | Version v1

Exact Solution of the Cosmic Equation in Non-Equilibrium Dynamics: Cosmic Age, Time Variation of Physical Constants, Observational Difficulty, and a Falsifiable Prediction of Decelerating Expansion

Authors/Creators

Description

We formulate the cosmic equation of motion in the Non-Equilibrium Dynamics (NED)

framework, including the time variation of mass, and derive its exact analytic solution.

Using the exact mass scaling M(R) = (Mnow/R2

now)R(R − ℓp) with R ≥ 2ℓp, the equation

of motion M′v + M a = F0 reduces to the total derivative form

d

dt

[

R(R − ℓp)R˙

]

= K, K =

F0R2

now

Mnow

.

Integrating twice yields the implicit solution

2R

3 − 3ℓpR

2 = 3Kt2 + 12ℓ

2

p

v0 t + 4ℓ

3

p

.

The explicit solution is obtained via Cardano’s formula:

R(t) = ℓp

2

+

3

√

A +

√

∆ + 3

√

A −

√

∆,

A =

3K

4

t

2 + 3ℓ

2

p

v0 t +

9ℓ

3

p

8

, ∆ = A

2 −

ℓ

6

p

64

.

This exact solution describes, without approximation, the entire cosmic history from the

Planck scale (R = 2ℓp) through a radiation-like era (R ∝ t

1/2

), a matter-dominated era

(R ∝ t

2/3

), and the eternal future (v → 0, a → 0). The cosmic age is given by

tnow =

−2ℓ

2

p

v0 +

√

4ℓ

4

p

v

2

0 −

Kc

3

K

,

which is essentially independent of the initial velocity v0. For Rnow = 4.4 × 1026 m, we

obtain tnow ≈ 1.39 × 1010 years, in agreement with observation. Introducing the time

variable t

′ = tnow + t, all physical quantities are expressed in the unified form

X(t) = Xnow (

tnow + t

tnow )n

,

where n is a constant specific to each quantity. This representation naturally explains why

the time variation of physical constants is not observed: the rate of change near the present is

extremely small (1/tnow ∼ 10−18 s

−1

), and moreover the measuring instruments themselves

scale with the same time variable, so that the variation cancels out in any measurement.

1 Finally, we derive a falsifiable prediction: the present cosmic acceleration is

anow ≈ −7.6 × 10−10 m/s

2

,

i.e., the universe is decelerating. This is in direct conflict with the standard interpretation of

Type Ia supernovae, CMB, and BAO observations, which indicate accelerating expansion.

This prediction provides a decisive test of NED.

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