Published October 2, 2026
| Version v1
Preprint
Open
Forecasting Nobel Prizes from Prize Records: How to Read Precursor Prizes: A Comparison of Forecasting Methods and the 2026 Candidates
Authors/Creators
- 1. Science News and Insights Group, Editorial Division, Nikkei Inc.
- 2. Graduate School of Social Data Science, Hitotsubashi University
Description
Japanese and English versions of the preprint. Junya Iwai and Naohiro Shichijo contributed equally to this work (corresponding author: Naohiro Shichijo).
受賞歴にもとづくノーベル賞予測:前哨戦の受賞歴をどう読むか:予測手法の比較と2026年の候補
日本語版と英語版のプレプリント。両著者の貢献は同等である(責任著者:七丈直弘)。