Reproducibility package: stratified reliability audits for genomic surveillance count forecasts
Authors/Creators
- 1. Guangzhou National Laboratory
- 2. Macau University of Science and Technology
Description
Open reproducibility archive for analyses of probabilistic clade–country count forecasts under changing genomic sequencing effort (influenza H3N2 and open SARS-CoV-2 panels).
This package contains analysis code, protocol locks, processed frequency/forecast tables,
the unified later-block evaluation ledger (v67_unified_ledger_target_disjoint.json,
Monte Carlo seed 20260829), target-month-disjoint point-score tables, within-country
denominator sensitivity outputs, SHA-256 manifests, and a detailed reproduction guide.
Primary sequence panels are public (NCBI / Nextstrain open builds; no GISAID in primary panels).
Raw FASTA dumps and large exploratory embedding arrays are not mirrored; they are unnecessary
for verifying the primary CRPS and coverage tables. See README.md,
DATA_AVAILABILITY.md, and REPRODUCE.md inside the zip.
Licenses: MIT (code); CC BY 4.0 (documentation and author-generated derived tables). Upstream sequence databases remain under their original terms.