Evergreen
Published September 1, 2026 | Version v1
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Stated Preference Analysis of Route Choice Behavior and Financial Feasibility for Toll Road Development: Malang-Kepanjen Corridor Case Study

Authors/Creators

  • 1. Civil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Brawijaya University, Jl. MT. Haryono No. 167, Malang 65145, Indonesia
  • 2. Civil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Wisnuwardhana University, Jl. Danau Sentani No. 99, Malang 65139, Indonesia
  • 3. Civil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Burapha University, 169 Long-Hard Bangsaen Road, Saensook, Chonburi 20131, Thailand

Contributors

Contact person:

  • 1. Civil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Brawijaya University, Jl. MT. Haryono No. 167, Malang 65145, Indonesia

Description

This study integrates route-choice behavior and financial feasibility analysis for the Malang-Kepanjen Toll Road. Stated Preference surveys of 100 respondents reveal a toll equilibrium tariff of IDR 9,800 and a time acceptance threshold of -25 minutes (R²=0.873). These parameters establish three traffic scenarios: pessimistic (236 veh/hr), moderate (351 veh/hr), and optimistic (456 veh/hr). Financial analysis over a 20-year concession shows only the optimistic scenario is viable (B/C Ratio=1.238). This integrated framework addresses a methodological gap in Indonesian infrastructure planning and improves investment reliability for secondary city corridors.

Notes

Published in Evergreen, Volume 13, Issue 03. Citation formats available via DOI link.

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Other: https://citation.crossref.org/?doi=10.5109/7440053 (URL)