Sustainable aviation fuels: Global production capacity outlook to 2030 including an EU SAF Mandate deep-dive

This slide deck presents an update to the global SAF production capacity outlook out to 2030, published in February 2026 (https://zenodo.org/records/18618012), and to our last paper (The potential scale-up of sustainable aviation fuels production capacity to meet global and EU policy targets, published in Nature Communications in 2025, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-66686-9), where we explored how far SAF production capacity falls short of the industry’s ambition. We quantified SAF production capacity by developing the Global SAF Capacity Database, which contains data on companies that produce or plan to produce SAF. This data was sourced from public announcements between 2013 and 2024.

Here, we update the SAF global production capacity outlook to 2030, based on new data collected up until the end of June 2026.