Published June 10, 2026 | Version v1

Getting to 100% Clean Power by 2030: Building Robust Decision-Making into Kenya's Energy Planning

  • 1. Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority (EPRA)
  • 2. Ministry of Energy and Petroleum
  • 3. ROR icon University College London
  • 4. EDMO icon Loughborough University

Description

Kenya’s ambition to achieve a fully clean power system by 2030 raises questions about how to provide system flexibility as renewable penetration increases. Applying Robust Decision-Making (RDM) enables a structured assessment of alternative flexibility options, including natural gas and battery storage, across a wide range of uncertain futures. The results show a limited role for natural gas, provided that modest cost reductions in batteries are achieved, and support the use of planning approaches that test strategies for robustness rather than relying on a limited set of scenarios.

Notes

This material has been produced with support from the Climate Compatible Growth (CCG) programme. CCG is funded by UK aid from the UK government. However, the views expressed herein do not necessarily reflect the UK government's official policies.

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