The Stellar Death Clock: Thermodynamic Constrains on Civilizational Survival
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This work proposes a thermodynamically constrained framework for interpreting the Fermi Paradox. Rather than attributing the absence of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations solely to sociological or self-destructive Great Filters, the study explores the possibility that stellar evolution itself imposes a universal temporal constraint on civilizational longevity. Using the Earth-Sun system as a baseline, the paper develops a mathematical model of the Civilizational Survival Factor () to relate remaining habitability, energy availability, and complexity-driven maintenance costs.
The framework treats civilizational growth as a constrained process in which increasing coordination, repair, information processing, and entropy management reduce the net free power available for long-term expansion. The argument is supported by complexity-collapse ideas from Tainter and by scaling results from Bettencourt and West, while remaining explicitly falsifiable and model-based. In parallel, classical interstellar exodus scenarios are evaluated against mass, propulsion, and thermal constraints, suggesting that such strategies face severe energetic penalties. As an alternative, controlled planetary orbital migration is considered a comparatively favorable mitigation pathway.
The paper does not claim to resolve the Fermi Paradox definitively, but offers a theoretical baseline for future numerical, observational, and comparative studies of astroengineering feasibility.
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The_Stellar_Death_Clock_Thermodynamic_Constraints_on_Civilizational_Survival_Moisés_Frutos_2026_v18.pdf
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(935.5 kB)
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