Published June 4, 2026 | Version v2

CGT - Tensor-to-Scalar Ratio Tension: Honest Assessment of r = αY = 0.051

  • 1. Independent Researcher, Ireland

Description

Transparent assessment of the tension between CGT's prediction of the tensor-to-scalar ratio r = αY = 7/137.036 = 0.051 and current observational upper limits of r < 0.032-0.036 (BICEP/Keck + Planck). Documents: when the prediction was made (January 2026, when r < 0.06), how the data has since tightened, the author's pre-registered falsification threshold (r < 0.01, not yet violated), and the timeline for definitive resolution (CMB-S4 ~2028, LiteBIRD ~2032). This note exists because scientific integrity requires leading with weaknesses, not hiding them. The remaining 148 predictions are unaffected by this tension.

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Additional details

Related works

Is supplement to
Preprint: 10.5281/zenodo.18710551 (DOI)

Dates

Submitted
2026-02-25
Conscious Geometry Theory - Tensor-to-Scalar Ratio Tension

Software

Repository URL
https://github.com/PhileasFoxx/ConsciousGeometryTheory
Programming language
Python
Development Status
Active

References

  • Foxx P (2026). Conscious Geometry Theory. Zenodo. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18710551
  • Tristram M et al. (2022). Improved limits on the tensor-to-scalar ratio. Phys. Rev. D 105, 083524
  • Planck Collaboration (2020). Planck 2018 results. X. Constraints on inflation. A&A 641, A10
  • BICEP/Keck Collaboration (2021). Improved Constraints on Primordial Gravitational Waves. Phys. Rev. Lett. 127, 151301