Replication Data for "Development in the Age of Weaponized Trade

Replication Package Description

This package contains the quantitative evidence and processing logic used to establish the "fragmentation penalty" and "geoeconomic buffer" effects discussed in the manuscript.

1. Primary Dataset (Weaponized_Trade_Dataset.csv): * A structured 1,850-observation panel dataset spanning 2010–2025.

   • It integrates time-series data for 124 economies, focusing on the Global South.

   • Key variables: Real GDP per capita growth (World Bank), annual export growth (UNCTAD), net FDI inflows, and a categorical "RTA Depth" variable for ASEAN/RCEP and AfCFTA members.

2. Variable Diary & Codebook (README.txt): * Provides technical definitions for all 12 variables and their corresponding source tags from the World Bank DataBank and UNCTADstat.

   • Includes unit measurements (e.g., constant 2015 USD for GDP metrics).

3. Analysis Log (Analysis_Script.do or Analysis_Procedures.pdf): * Documents the specific fixed-effects (FE) regression models and robust standard error treatments used to generate the findings in Section 4.

   • Outlines the filtering criteria used to isolate "Global South" observations for the comparative analysis.