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Published April 21, 2026 | Version v1

You Are Wasting 96% of Your Inference Compute: 23x Intelligence Per Watt from Software Alone — A Multiplicative Algorithmic Stack for LLM Inference

Description

Saad-Falcon et al. (2025) introduced Intelligence Per Watt (IPW) as the critical metric for tracking

AI efficiency: task accuracy divided by power consumed. Their longitudinal study documents 5.3x

IPW improvement from 2023-2025, driven by model and hardware advances. This paper

demonstrates that a stack of algorithmic efficiency optimizations — derived from a unified

stochastic health monitoring framework — provides an additional multiplicative IPW improvement

on top of whatever hardware is available.

The core three-layer algorithmic stack (FlashAttention, run-level power metric allocation, and early

exit) provides a combined 23x IPW improvement at sequence length 4,096 tokens, through three

orthogonal mechanisms: per-operation memory bandwidth efficiency (FlashAttention, 2.86x),

allocation efficiency reducing which operations occur (power metric inference, 5.18x), and depth

efficiency reducing how many layers each operation uses (early exit, 1.56x). These layers are

independent and compound multiplicatively. Applied on top of Saad-Falcon et al.'s 2025 hardware

baseline, the combined IPW improvement is estimated at up to approximately 122x versus the

2023 baseline. The full stack including speculative decoding and quality-preserving layers

reaches 70x algorithmic improvement alone. Critically, these algorithmic gains are available today

on existing hardware — they do not require waiting for the next hardware generation.

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Dates

Submitted
2026-04-21