You Are Wasting 96% of Your Inference Compute: 23x Intelligence Per Watt from Software Alone — A Multiplicative Algorithmic Stack for LLM Inference
Authors/Creators
Description
Saad-Falcon et al. (2025) introduced Intelligence Per Watt (IPW) as the critical metric for tracking
AI efficiency: task accuracy divided by power consumed. Their longitudinal study documents 5.3x
IPW improvement from 2023-2025, driven by model and hardware advances. This paper
demonstrates that a stack of algorithmic efficiency optimizations — derived from a unified
stochastic health monitoring framework — provides an additional multiplicative IPW improvement
on top of whatever hardware is available.
The core three-layer algorithmic stack (FlashAttention, run-level power metric allocation, and early
exit) provides a combined 23x IPW improvement at sequence length 4,096 tokens, through three
orthogonal mechanisms: per-operation memory bandwidth efficiency (FlashAttention, 2.86x),
allocation efficiency reducing which operations occur (power metric inference, 5.18x), and depth
efficiency reducing how many layers each operation uses (early exit, 1.56x). These layers are
independent and compound multiplicatively. Applied on top of Saad-Falcon et al.'s 2025 hardware
baseline, the combined IPW improvement is estimated at up to approximately 122x versus the
2023 baseline. The full stack including speculative decoding and quality-preserving layers
reaches 70x algorithmic improvement alone. Critically, these algorithmic gains are available today
on existing hardware — they do not require waiting for the next hardware generation.
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Paper_14_FINAL_260420_171724.pdf
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Additional details
Dates
- Submitted
-
2026-04-21