Published April 5, 2026
| Version v1
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GLOBALIZATION AND THE DYNAMICS OF ECONOMIC CYCLES
Authors/Creators
- 1. Senior lecturer of the department of "Economic Theory" Samarkand institute of economics and service
- 2. Student of Samarkand institute of economics and service
Description
This study examines the dynamics of economic cycles under globalization, focusing on how international trade, financial integration, and capital mobility influence cyclical fluctuations. The research employs a theoretical-analytical approach supported by modern macroeconomic models, including open-economy frameworks and stochastic cycle representations. The findings indicate that globalization intensifies synchronization of business cycles across countries, accelerates crisis transmission, and increases the volatility of developing economies. At the same time, it creates opportunities for growth through technological diffusion and capital inflows.
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References
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- Blanchard, O. (2017). Macroeconomics (7th ed.). Pearson.
- Frankel, J. A., & Rose, A. K. (1998). The endogeneity of the optimum currency area criteria. The Economic Journal, 108(449), 1009–1025.
- .International Monetary Fund. (2023). World Economic Outlook: Navigating global divergence. IMF Publications.
- Kose, M. A., Otrok, C., & Prasad, E. (2012). Global business cycles: Convergence or decoupling? International Economic Review, 53(2), 511–538.