Published January 1, 2026 | Version v1

Apex Ai: A Multi-Model Ensemble Framework for Intelligent NSE Equity Trading Signal Generation

Description

This paper presents APEX AI, a professional-grade equity trading signal platform designed for National Stock Exchange (NSE) listed Indian stocks. The system employs a heterogeneous ensemble of three complementary machine learning models: Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) networks for sequential pattern capture, Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN) for multi-scale temporal feature extraction, and LightGBM for gradient-boosted tabular learning. These models are fused through a soft-voting ensemble to produce probabilistic price forecasts expressed as P10, P50, and P90 quantile estimates over a 14-day horizon. A four-stage gate architecture governs signal quality, filtering signals based on trend alignment, volatility regime, volume confirmation, and risk-adjusted expected return. The platform exposes predictions through a FastAPI backend and a React/TypeScript/Vite frontend featuring a TradingView-style candlestick chart with an integrated forecast cone. Experimental evaluation on historical NSE data demonstrates directional accuracy above 62%, with the ensemble outperforming any individual constituent model.

Files

IJSRET_V12_issue2_135.pdf

Files (586.3 kB)

Name Size Download all
md5:e53881131b401db77d2d99900b92c89e
586.3 kB Preview Download

Additional details