Published December 1, 2025 | Version v1
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Earth-Scale Precursors of the Kamchatka Earthquake Revealed via Polarization Monitoring in Undersea Mediterranean Optical Fiber Links

  • 1. UNIVERSITA' DEGLI STUDI L'AQUILA
  • 2. Università degli Studi dell'Aquila
  • 3. ROR icon Telecom Italia (Italy)
  • 4. ROR icon University of Padua
  • 5. ROR icon Infinera (United States)
  • 6. Sapienza University

Description

By tracking the state of polarization in submarine optical cables carrying live traffic across the Mediterranean Sea, we unambiguously detected the signature of the recent Mw 8.8 Kamchatka earthquake in two independent optical links. Moreover, distinct precursors of the earthquake were observed in multiple cables within the same region. Their distance of roughly 9,000~km from the epicenter unequivocally indicates that the earthquake preparation was governed by Earth-scale processes, whose nature remains unknown. We conjecture that the excitation of Earth’s normal modes by solid tides may explain this global-scale behavior. These results demonstrate the potential of submarine optical fiber links as highly sensitive geophysical observatories, opening new perspectives for understanding earthquake dynamics and developing future early warning systems.

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Additional details

Funding

European Commission
ECSTATIC - Engineering Combined Sensing and Telecommunications ​Architectures for Tectonic and Infrastructure Characterisation. 101189595