Published 2026 | Version 2
Dataset Open

Replication package: BTC–ETH tail risk dynamics and market maturation (365-day rolling windows) V2

  • 1. ROR icon Loughborough University
  • 2. ROR icon Aston University

Contributors

Description

  • Version 2 update (March 2026):

    This version adds supplementary robustness code and results in response to peer review. The new materials (folder robustness/) include:

    • robustness_analysis.py — Python script for all supplementary diagnostics
    • results/ — CSV files with intermediate calculations and four figures (C1–C4)

    New analyses added:

    1. Structural break detection (binary segmentation, L2 cost) for all rolling risk series
    2. Rolling Hill tail index estimation (365-day windows) with Newey–West trend tests
    3. Rolling GARCH(1,1) persistence (α+β) analysis
    4. SMA(200) regime robustness check
    5. Block-bootstrap 95% confidence intervals for exceedance correlations
    6. Non-overlapping annual window R² verification

    These results are reported in Section 4.5 and Appendix C of the revised manuscript. See robustness/README.md for details and requirements.

Files

zenodo_supplementaryAdditional.zip

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